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“This isn’t exactly Rocket Surgery”

A Plausible Future of Health

The sub-title to this piece is “Patient-Advocates as Harbringers of Hope in the Health Care System.”

Disclaimer: I am a Libertarian-Progressive. I generally trust markets more than I trust government, primarily because I think it’s easier to inspire real change and harder to make massive mistakes in the free market — however I think government must harness the power of markets and put bumper-rails in to protect the masses from greed overdoses. I supported Barack Obama in the 2008 election and continue to do so. In advance of his healthcare speech, and at the tail-end of a lengthy vacation where I discussed my views, I decided to pen the following missive.

This post is about 1250 words, if, like most, you are far too lazy to read something of that length, here’s a good summary:  

Today, doctors are manipulated by the fear of malpractice into recommending unnecessary procedures that individuals accept because of an information disadvantage. We have little compulsion to overcome this disadvantage because we are not the primary buyers of our own health care. The current position is untenable, and it’s in our interest to influence change with the free market. There are models we can build off, and in the future, it seems likely that patient-advocates will possess the medical knowledge and fiduciary responsibility to allow their clients to decrease their personal costs and increase their quality of life despite a broken system, beating the path down good health reform.  I’ve called this new industry “FutureHealth” in my own thinking, but I don’t like the way that sounds. Can you suggest a better name in the comments? 

OK, that wraps up the word sushi, on with the more gluttonous show…

I backed Obama for his strength in foreign policy and the economy, on those fronts he’s made careful and reasonable decision –curbing a massive economic decline while positioning the US well abroad (specifically regarding War in the Middle East and the Iran Election). He’s done us one better and placed his political chips on the table of the most pressing economic issue today: health care.

People often take issue with framing health care as an economic issue — at it’s core it deals with the life and well-being (or lack there-of) of human beings, so it’s clearly a social issue, and yet — 20% of total government spending is on medicaid/medicare and both government and personal health spending are rising at rapacious rates (2 to 3 percent faster than inflation). If we don’t fix health care, it will bankrupt well before it kills.

There have been a series of fascinating articles this summer exposing the perverse economics of health care — two stand out: Atul Gawande’s watershed piece in The New Yorker, “McAllen, Texas and the high cost of health care” and, more recently, David Goldhill’s piece in the Atlantic Monthly, “How American Health Care Killed My Father.” Both conclude the incentive structure of the medical system is broken. The Doctors, fearing malpractice suits, recommend unnecessary procedures. Patients, at a severe information disadvantage and with little skin in the game perceived when it comes to payment, accept this recommendation. Insurance foots the bill and in search of greater profits tries to shirk as many payouts as possible and, if faced with an inability to do so, raises rates (making it harder for individuals to maintain health insurance).

The heart of the health care problem therefore seems to be unnecessary procedures (estimated at 30% of annual medical costs) and lack of innovation in the patient experience.

To solve both issues, patients must become the central focus of the system. By creating strong financial incentives for patients to judiciously use health care you would create a health services industry that must curb costs and cater to the patient’s experience, improving care, along with an information industry that will eliminate the information disadvantage that allows patients to be easily manipulated today.

Unfortunately, a quick, sweeping change (legislative or otherwise), requiring individuals to foot more medical bills is unlikely (at best) to happen when one of the largest industries is involved, people’s pocketbooks are at stake and there’s no existing use to defend that this system will be preferable in the long-run. Our brains are bad at evaluating risk-reward when the status quo is an option (for however briefly) and the risk involves our health and our savings account.

This means the change must happen gradually, and likely (at least initially) through market forces rather than legislation.

Luckily, there is already a subset of early adopters that care aggressively about health and patient experience and have been spurring innovation on both fronts: the wealthy.

The wealthy have developed a tool that helps them navigate the complexities of health care, enjoy a better patient experience, and obtain the information and access required for better preventive care: concierge doctors. Concierge (also known as “boutique”) doctors require extra cost from a more limited subset of patients who receive expiriential perks like same-day appointments and higher levels of access to their doctor. These can range from the expensive MD2 (24K/year for a family) to the relatively inexpensive (I pay $150/yr to a concierge practice in San Francisco), but access and benefit tends to flow linearly across that range (at the end of the day you’re buying time from highly skilled, valuable people).

Boutique medicine puts the patient in the buyer’s seat and creates an opportunity for the patient to take much more control of their health and utilize preventive care to decrease health needs. Once the patients health costs are more predictable (and probably far below the average), the concierge relationship helps the patient gain information advantage to increase confidence in making alternative purchasing decisions, perhaps self- or co-operative insuring.

So, there’s a clear path to improving health care, and the first hurdle in our way is visible and defined. A company that can accomplish the same (or similar) effect as boutique doctors for the rest of us will create the passage point to the future of health care.

At the highest level, this new class of doctors need not be doctors at all, but rather “patient-advocates” that maintain enough medical knowledge to ensure proper care and are capable of supporting and helping patients through both simple and complex medical situations. At the lowest levels, this function may be a game or service that encourages more healthful activity (think DailyMile, tweetwhatyoueat, FourSquare, or others).

There are many people in this FutureHealth industry, but one seems particularly well-placed to bring about the next step in the industry’s evolution, a small company called HelloHealth (disclaimer: Jay Parkinson, CEO of HelloHealth, is a friend). They are creating a platform where doctors can interact with patients in a more traditional primary-care role: hands-on, preventive care administered in a personal fashion. To the extent that HelloHealth can create technical tools that help their doctors save time (like automated paperwork, electronic patient interactions, and more), they can lower the cost of access for patients into a realm affordable for the average joe (they seem to have already gotten into the high-end of this range).

Finally, I’ve dubbed this new industry “FutureHealth” in my head, but I don’t like the way that sounds. Can you suggest a better name in the comments? 

 

Edit Notification: I published the first draft of this on my blackberry without review; I have sense gone back and fixed any typos and lack of links I could find. I have sent this to a few knowledgeable friends for feedback. I may edit again for clarity based on their suggestions.

  • I haven't spent a ton of time forming a coherent plan but here are some of my thoughts:

    I think there are three big problems.
    1. Broken malpractice system
    2. Little to no focus on preventative care
    3. Lack of electronic records

    Some other random thoughts:
    - I think there is also a problem of people demanding procedures because they incorrect info. e.g. I read on web md that i have x, it says i need y procedure. Drs. are pressured to just do y procedure in fear of getting sued and back to my problem 1.
    -There has been a lot of discussion around Drs. doing unnecessary procedures in terms of them being greedy like Obama's tonsil example. I think that argument is somewhat unfair and rare. Drs. in general have strong ethics. It's ingrained from early in training and is really core value that most other professions don't have. Sure there are probably some bad docs, but i think that is the exception.
    -Malpractice insurance is incredibly expensive and adds a ton of cost to the system. Yes Drs make mistakes and some are negligent but the malpractice system is flawed. It's far to easy to sue because a patient or family didn't get the outcome they wanted. It's costly and not making things better. I'd like to see that capped and maybe just make medical practices set aside money for ensuring basic processes that actually reduce deaths like the 5 million lives campaign - http://www.ihi.org/ihi/Programs/campaign/campai...

    What I'd like to see:
    -Electronic medical records. The system now is ridiculously inefficient. Drs. have to fax records, so much is handwritten. I patient could come in to a hospital two nights in a row and the records might not even be processed. Few people even understand the drugs they are on or their basic medical history. Electronic records would improve quality of care and eliminate redundant tests just because the Drs. don't have a proper history

    -Focus on preventive care. Clinics are often the first things cut for low income people and then those untreated problems grow into expensive problems later. We don't have universal healthcare but if you are really sick, the hospital is going to treat you whether you can pay for it or not. In most cases it's going to be in the form of higher taxes to fund public hospitals or higher rates for everyone.

    Add some other incentives to get healthy, pay people to stop smoking. Tax credits for gym memberships - have the gym verify you actually go. Create gov funded groups to work on healthy eating habits - if you go to a hospital and need to get treated for diabetes because you live unhealthy, you should be required to attend nutritional classes and pay for it by taxing junk food.

    Create more bonus incentives for drs. / hospitals that provide preventative care

    I think you addressed some of the preventive issues with your services like DailyMile.

    I do like some of your patient advocacy points.

    Also Medicare / Medicaid is a mess. Lots of Drs. don't even want to treat those patients because it's not worth the cost relative to what they get reimbursed. That system is already excluding those patients from some really good drs for that reason. I feel like a gov. run plan is just going to make that problem worse.

    Finally if the gov. is going to get involved i think they could just subsidize a lot of the basic tests that get run on patients routinely.

    It's pretty hard to type in this tiny box so i'm not sure if I even made a coherent thought in the past few 1000 words.
  • #hcr on twitter

    Malpractice Insurance only costs 1% of the medical expenses (but 30% is estimated to be due to unnecessary procedures done to protect from malpractice law. I'd love to see tort reform that streamlines the process for dealing with malpractice, caps payouts, and removes the stigma of making mistakes as a doctor. Doctors should not fret as much as they do today about ending up in court, it should be seen as an unpleasant, but normal part of the job.

    Progressive personal incentives are absolutely required, preventative medicine has to play a bigger role in our health and it's got to come from more medical generalists. Some believe this means we need less specialization from doctors, I think it means we need to lower the bar for generalists. 99% of the time I need to see my doctor a well trained RN would do -- we can do more for cheaper by creating a new role for more consistent, preventative care.

    Not sure I agree with Medicare/Medicaid being a mess -- I think it's done quite a good job of protecting people from major illness. It could be better (esp. at preventative care), but it's doing fairly well. In fact, most lower-end boutique doctors (like the one I see) also accepts medicare/medicaid patients despite no economic need to do so.
  • Well about medicare/medicaid - right now it's about 8% of GDP. Find me any reasonable projection of how medicare/medicaid is sustainable over the next 30 yrs. Look at the CBO report. http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/105xx/doc10521/08-25... We clearly can't afford the current system. That is why I think it's a mess.

    Also the statement about doing a good job protecting people from illness is purely speculative I think. I only have anecdotal evidence from friends that are doctors treating medicare or medicaid patients, but by the time those people go to the dr., they are pretty sick.
  • Oh, I agree that it's financially unsustainable (true of private healthcare
    too), fair enough. Thought you meant it wasn't providing adequate service (I
    think it's closer than most give it credit for on this front).
    Best,
    Tyler Willis
    Director of Marketing, Involver
    415-683-1742
  • perivision
    Good post. However, there is another tool that we can address to reduce healthcare costs, and that is the current legal structure. Doctors over test because of fear of litigation. If we could address this issue at the core; be that through better rules for 'proper practice' or 'limited liability' or 'limited judgments', in addition to what you have suggested, we can reduce costs at the point of origin.
  • Good point, Obama just echoed that exact point as well. (about 45min mark on his speech tonight)
  • danielmacgregor
    Well said, Tyler. And I commend your blackberry skills.
    I strongly disagree with the pragmatic sounding premise that because a titanic industry is involved, legislative change is doubtful. Well see what the pres says tonigh. I expect a similarly pragmatic concession to that industry and compromise. But time will tell what those in power do or don't do with it.
    I for one think that any legislative change that doesn't include a public option is a compromise with a doomed industry. To spare you the details, the rich are sorely out of touch with the middle and lower classes as never before, except perhaps in 1776.
    To argue the cause of boutique health consultants and providers is like proposing that Americans start buying all their produce at farmers markets. I love organic veggies, and technically I can't afford them at all, and I cannot insist that other Americans buy what and where I buy. The vast majority of them have no farmers market, or couldn't afford to shop at one. The same goes for the boutique health industry.
    While you choose to be pragmatic about legislation, you are quite idealistic about the market.
    The market will go where it always has: after the majority of the masses. Corporations will continue to manipulate said masses to the best of their ability. Fox will continue to lead the blind.
    And global financial meltdown will be but a hairs breadth away - as long as the largest companies continue to live in the dreamworld of global, centralized capitalism (getting bailouts like extra lives in a video game).
    Americas best hope for basic rights like health care may indeed lie in gradual change, but the market will not bring us that change in time. Another clock is ticking besides the one on the Pfizer CEOs wall.
    It ticks along as every minute diabetes and other diseases claim the lives of more of poor. Whether or not Obama pushes through the change he promised, whether or not the fortunate few in progressive communities are able to spread their medicine, there will be a reckoning for the class that has slowed that progress down. I don't know if it will take the form of a meltdown, a dramatic shift in political power, or domestic resistance, but the current model is indeed broken, and the current debate on health care is a euphemism for one thing only: class difference and class consciousness. You can bet that those big pharma CEOs love what Fox is doing for them. How long can they bend reality to their short-term gain?
    Daniel Macgregor
  • I'm certainly more pro-market, primarily because I think it's a vehicle that can make the change we need happen faster. I added a disclaimer to the top of my post to highlight this.

    I think government has to take the health care revolution to completion (and I support something similar to David Goldhill's plan of government-enforced/supported HSAs), but I don't think the government can do anything more than put a patch over the ugly, broken system until some entrepreneurs show the system where the path of least resistance is.

    I'm a business guy (a suit, if you will), so maybe I'm not putting enough faith in government -- but it would be much easier for progressive leaders to push through a comprehensive plan that had an analogous, successful private-market peer.

    Finally, I didn't mean to indicate that the boutique healthcare was for all Americans, but rather that entrepreneurs should find ways to mimic the benefits of boutique medicine in a way that's affordable for all (most preferably a time-intensive free option and a time-saving affordable option).

    For the time-intensive free option think a preventative version of WebMD (perhaps personalized for a nominal fee with something like 23andMe) and for the time-saving affordable option, think HelloHealth.
  • danielmacgregor
    I definitely got on a anti-corporate rant there. I also didn't mean to imply that I am proposing a Marxist revolution. I'd love to see the kind of change you are talking about made by entrepreneurs. But from my vantage point, it seems like a very idealistic scenario.
    One thing that led to my staunch support of government-led (as opposed to corporate-led) reform of the health care system was my chance attendance of an important health industry technology summit last year, where I worked at the event. I was amazed to discover how severely outdated the industry's technological approach was, and how poorly the various sectors of the industry were communicating with each other. To an outsider, it appeared to be a mind-blowing maze of profiteering, ignorance, manipulation and short-sitedness, as leaders and CEO's from all the segments (tech, web, pharma, health providers...) tried to explain their solutions to each other. One of the best talks was by a doctor-run health network. And while many left visibly impressed, most just looked confused or amused. It's a very convoluted and traditional industry indeed.
    Anyway, there's that and there's my family, most of whom are without health insurance for various reasons. I wish I had the optimism of Brian Wilson tonight who said "American's are a giving people. They do care about those among them who are going without." I don't see the majority of Americans as being that altruistic.
    It remains to a few bold innovators to change the system for us, and while I am relieved that tonight the President did not back down on the public option (which will give the major corporations the timely competition they need to try to clean up their act), I am just as eager to see how enterprising young capitalists can bring about health care for all. You have some fun ideas, and I hope that those with the opportunity and ability in the health industry, new business and the web can take up the challenge and make their work matter in such a way.
    We need the system to be fixed soon - very soon - if we are going to avoid an ongoing recession not to mention further inhumane inequalities in health care for the least among us. But if it's a race, I think my money's on this administration.
  • Check out www.hellohealth.com -- I think you'll like the change Jay is
    motivating as a private entrepreneur.
  • Good post. Tyler, I recommend checking out the book Nudge and specifically looking at the recommendations on health care and medical reform. The book is about choice architecture and the power of rules, and default opt-in options. http://www.amazon.com/Nudge-Improving-Decisions...

    One relevant perspective they have is to put a cap on how much someone can expect to get from a malpractice suit. If someone thinks they have the potential they can blame an ulcer on the doctor and expect to gain $1 Million vs $10,000 that makes a big difference. Also they suggest people have the option to opt out of the right to sue. Many rational people could choose to do that and be fine and save a lot of money, because it's built in to the costs without our ability to choose.
  • #hcr

    I think medical tort reform (h/t to @fredwilson for calling it what it is) is a fantastic idea, and I think caps could help drastically change the landscape (especially for injury lawyers, whom I think should make less as an industry in a more balanced world).

    Thanks for the book reco.
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